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Left, center or right?
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m_estrugo
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Posted: 5/29/2005 1:57:48 AM     Post subject: Left, center or right?  

Just wanted to know. Does CYD have a political tendence?
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V3Ng3
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Joined: 02 May 2005
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Posted: 5/29/2005 2:21:38 AM     Post subject:  

I would say I'm a bit to the left, but I make right wing comments and say stuff like "demon-crats" and "Lie-berals" because it pisses liberals off, and thats a very fun thing to do.
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Pikachang
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Posted: 5/29/2005 2:28:18 AM     Post subject:  

Well, considering the whole internet probably has a slight tendency towards left, probably.

Of course, it also depends on what you consider "Center". European center is pretty much american left.
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AngryPuritan
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Posted: 5/29/2005 2:49:09 AM     Post subject:  

European center is pretty much american left.


Agreed, but a 'liberal' in Europe is a nice way to say fascist.

I vote center-left... AmeriKKKa!
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Stoneth
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Posted: 5/29/2005 3:07:54 AM     Post subject:  

Here in Nicaragua there are two major parties that are predominant: the FSLN (Frente Sandinista de Liberación Nacional) and the PLC (Partido Liberal Constitucionalista).

The ironic thing being that the PLC while claiming to be liberal is actually the right-winged party while the Sandinistas are more leftist.
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Dr. Dos
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Posted: 5/29/2005 3:24:11 AM     Post subject:  

http://politicalcompass.org

Economic Left/Right: -7.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -8.10

Also be wary of just saying left/right with different countries having a different idea of what left/right is.

Also if you're interested in politics I'm going to plug I Read This the message board for DC Simpson's I Drew This
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Barry Scott
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Posted: 5/29/2005 3:35:19 AM     Post subject:  

I was once described as being "so left that due to the curved nature of the universe he's quickly approaching the right"
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Dr. Mojo
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Posted: 5/29/2005 4:34:09 AM     Post subject:  

I'm a fuckin' hippie. :( Only without the drugs.
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Genghis
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Posted: 5/29/2005 4:51:42 AM     Post subject:  

Economic Left/Right: -4.75
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -2.87

Apparently I'm a dirty pinko commie liberal leftist. Who'da thunk it?
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weird_guy_in_the_corner
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Posted: 5/29/2005 5:52:33 AM     Post subject:  

Economic Left/Right: -4.75
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -2.62

I'm around Gandhi's position. Whee!
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its_simo
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Joined: 20 May 2005
Posts: 82

Posted: 5/29/2005 7:42:51 AM     Post subject:  

World's Smallest Political Quiz


ACCORDING TO YOUR ANSWERS,
The political description that
fits you best is... LIBERTARIAN

Your PERSONAL issues Score is 100%.
Your ECONOMIC issues Score is 90%.
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Mitch
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Joined: 01 Jun 2003
Posts: 658

Posted: 5/29/2005 10:16:11 AM     Post subject:  

Economic Left/Right: -6.50
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -1.90

Nice quiz. I didn't expect those results based on how I answered. I thought I'd come out all right wing.


Edit: World's Smallest Political Quiz

ACCORDING TO YOUR ANSWERS,
You fall exactly on the border
of two political philosophies...
LIBERAL
LIBERTARIAN

Your PERSONAL issues Score is 100%.
Your ECONOMIC issues Score is 50%.
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SquareMoogle
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Posted: 5/29/2005 11:05:19 AM     Post subject:  

Alot of the questions were way too vague, affirmation of libertarian status kinda. :?
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Heroiini
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Posted: 5/29/2005 12:58:58 PM     Post subject:  

Fascist
Apparently I'm Gandhi...
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IceCat
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Joined: 31 Oct 2003
Posts: 244

Posted: 5/29/2005 4:01:50 PM     Post subject:  

Well I got this...

Economic Left/Right: -2.25
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -4.15
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RailFoxen
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Posted: 5/29/2005 6:26:34 PM     Post subject:  


You scored as General Grievous.
Which Revenge of the Sith Character are you?
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weird_guy_in_the_corner
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Posted: 5/29/2005 7:03:31 PM     Post subject:  

Google "political quiz." You'll get a bunch of cool quizzes.

http://franz.org/quiz.htm
I'm Hillary Clinton. :(

http://www.okcupid.com/politics
I'm best described as a Democrat.

http://typology.people-press.org/typology/
I'm a dirty liberal commie.

http://www.politopia.com
Centerville. (?)

That's all I could find.
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AngryPuritan
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Joined: 15 Jan 2005
Posts: 1361

Posted: 5/29/2005 11:40:49 PM     Post subject:  

World's Smallest Political Quiz


ACCORDING TO YOUR ANSWERS,
The political description that
fits you best is... LIBERTARIAN

Your PERSONAL issues Score is 100%.
Your ECONOMIC issues Score is 90%.


That tests paints too many as libretarians, mostly because it's used as a tool to convince people they are such. It's linked on the libretarian homepage actually.

As for the ‘I drew this’ forums, avoid Calbeck, former furry gubernatorial candidate from Arizona. The one of Weekend Web and Pressed Fur fame.
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Mastertran
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Posted: 5/30/2005 1:02:41 AM     Post subject:  

Well my family has by tradition been Communist or very left wing. So a good hint is that I voted for Nader last year.
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Dogthing
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Posted: 5/30/2005 10:28:13 PM     Post subject:  

Center Right. Pro small business, and extremely conservationist in the Teddy Roosevelt/Dances with wolves fashion. In other words, I'm a treehugger, but not a pussy vegan or hippy or whatever.
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Dr. Mojo
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Posted: 5/30/2005 11:14:39 PM     Post subject:  

Aren't righties typically pro-big business and anti-environmental control?
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AngryPuritan
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Joined: 15 Jan 2005
Posts: 1361

Posted: 5/30/2005 11:22:29 PM     Post subject:  

The terms 'left' and 'right' are so relative and dependant upon the culture you're in it's really improper to think that a person can completely believe either side's total dogma.

In the 1920's, a 'leftist' would likely want that socialistic thing called 'social security'. Now a centrist would agree with it.
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adabsurdum
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Joined: 13 May 2005
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Posted: 5/31/2005 12:03:49 AM     Post subject:  

I have always maintained a Libertarian position on most things, although that's rather difficult to do in a Red State. Especially when visiting leftists tell me, "Wait... you were actually born here? I bet you're a fascist, land-raping, corporation-loving retard and you don't even know it!"
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Beauty of Nature
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Posts: 178

Posted: 5/31/2005 12:08:38 AM     Post subject:  

Economic Left/Right: -5.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -4.72
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Tailgunner
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Posted: 5/31/2005 12:17:49 AM     Post subject:  

America!...FUCK YEAH!
We going to save the mother fucking day!


I am the worst of the worst:

A Liberal Democratic Socialist. BUT! I also serve in the military, and have gone overseas for OIF just to make a few people say, WTF?
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Mastertran
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Posted: 5/31/2005 3:29:42 AM     Post subject:  

I was in the army too no big deal.
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Kadius
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Posted: 6/1/2005 11:14:58 PM     Post subject:  

Economic Left/Right: -6.38
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -2.36

Millimeteres from Gandhi.
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Banrai
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Posted: 6/1/2005 11:45:07 PM     Post subject:  

HEY DIDN'T WE HAVE A RULE AGINST POSTING GAY ASS QUIZZES?
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Dr. Mojo
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Posted: 6/2/2005 12:13:30 AM     Post subject:  

SO YOU'RE A REPUBLICAN HUH
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Dogthing
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Posted: 6/2/2005 2:49:35 AM     Post subject:  

SO YOU'RE A REPUBLICAN HUH


BURN HER AT THE STAKE
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creature
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Posted: 6/2/2005 4:57:16 PM     Post subject:  

Well, my hangs to the right, but thats from years of... wait, that's not the question.

I consider myself a conservative liberal. I'm physically conservative but morally liberal. Basically, keep the budget tight and don't be stupid with the money, and if you want to do it at home behind closed doors go for it, just leave me and mine out of it.
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mouse
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Posted: 6/3/2005 6:41:15 AM     Post subject:  

America!...FUCK YEAH!
We going to save the mother fucking day!


I am the worst of the worst:

A Liberal Democratic Socialist. BUT! I also serve in the military, and have gone overseas for OIF just to make a few people say, WTF?


Economic Left/Right: -6.13 - Dont ever trust a business, corporation, or a rich man to do the right thing. They might, but to build policy assuming it, its stupid when the bottom line is always just a dollar bill and nothing more.

A lot of libertarians and free market economists get locked into the fallacy that - a "bad" business will fail , a "good" business will succeed. Its true - however most people confuse this with the larger picture, a business run well or not, moral or immoral is a completely different independant aspect. A business can be immoral (and legal) and be vastly successful.

Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -4.97 - Gov't has little business butting into personal lives - While at the same time, its resposibility is to provide the nessecary environment for a high quality of life in this country. (social safety net).

I actually think welfare should be indefinate, if neccesary, while at the same time being at odds with the general left wing in that - in that unlikely scenario - there should be more state control, stringent regulation, and monitoring. IE the unpopular fingerprinting, drug tests, state housing etc. While providing all the means possible for people to leave that system (training etc).

An even mix , a tiered society, capitalist and socialist. Course, thats just pure fantasy.

Ive noticed over the years.. the best times are when there is a democrat in office with a fair amount of opposition - so not too much gets done. Not that I think left-wing policies are bad, not at all. The clinton years were good, cuz it was a democrat who couldn't pass everything, yet not the bullshit and sharp economic downturn that always accompanies every single republican president to date.

With the republicans having total majority in every office and in control at the helm now, we are the dictionary definition of fucked. Conservatives are supposed to be opposed to radical change.. and yet these guys want to tear apart the foundations of our government with some kind of nutty power play.. killing the filibuster, altering and loopholing the constitution et al. - to name two of many.
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mouse
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Posted: 6/3/2005 7:00:48 AM     Post subject:  

Basically, keep the budget tight and don't be stupid with the money, and if you want to do it at home behind closed doors go for it, just leave me and mine out of it.


I would agree.. but at the same time.... jesus fucking christ man ! Why do "tax and spend liberals" seem to grow the economy , but "fiscal fitness conservatives" manage to bury us up to our necks in debt? (considering the current scenario - in four short years - It took Reagan and Bush the first 12 years )

At this point, how are we ever going to pay off the debt we've racked up? The value of the dollar is upheld solely on the faith that that dollar holds value, as you know. If we are unable to repay debt, as a country, that value will plummet. Its already slipping. And the hot button argument today is the "looming social security crisis". AFAIK Social Scurity funds are invested - in US bonds. If we cant pay those, there is a hell of a lot more to worry about than mailing out social security checks to baby boomers. All that aside - social programs don't make a pimple on the ass of a discretionary war in terms of spending.

The Bush model would be the equivalent of me quitting my job tomarrow and running my credit cards up to the hilt the same day - with absolutely no plan on what to do when the bill comes due at the end of the month.

If I ruin my credit, it would be a pain but I could get by. If the United States of America ruins its credit with the world - we are in some deep, deep dogshit (as would be the whole global economy). No other way of looking at it.
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IceCat
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Posted: 6/3/2005 1:38:54 PM     Post subject:  

The thing is right now we are being taken over by a bunch of theocrats of the worst type. Found a website that has alot more to say on the subject.

http://www.theocracywatch.org/

Of course I new we were screwed when Bush said in a debate that "Jesus was his biggest political influence".
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creature
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Posted: 6/3/2005 4:52:27 PM     Post subject:  


I would agree.. but at the same time.... jesus fucking christ man ! Why do "tax and spend liberals" seem to grow the economy , but "fiscal fitness conservatives" manage to bury us up to our necks in debt? (considering the current scenario - in four short years - It took Reagan and Bush the first 12 years )


I've never beleived in the term "tax and spend liberal" because the last time we had a liberal in office the economy was good (could have used a lot more oversight from the SEC, but we can't do shit about that now) and the federal budget was a hell of a lot tighter then it is now. It's more like tax and spend conservatives.


At this point, how are we ever going to pay off the debt we've racked up? The value of the dollar is upheld solely on the faith that that dollar holds value, as you know. If we are unable to repay debt, as a country, that value will plummet. Its already slipping. And the hot button argument today is the "looming social security crisis". AFAIK Social Scurity funds are invested - in US bonds. If we cant pay those, there is a hell of a lot more to worry about than mailing out social security checks to baby boomers. All that aside - social programs don't make a pimple on the ass of a discretionary war in terms of spending.


That's the problem. The Social Security Trust Fund isn't. It's all bonds. I'd rather have at least a part of that be in cash or even mortgage backed securities from Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. At least then there is something behind it. Any overages right now that don't need to be paid out to retirees goes towards whatever congressman or the president wants for a special program they decide to. That just bugs me.


If I ruin my credit, it would be a pain but I could get by. If the United States of America ruins its credit with the world - we are in some deep, deep dogshit (as would be the whole global economy). No other way of looking at it.


We'd be bailed out. No one would let us default. The US economy IS the world economic engine. Even the Chinese are beholden to the US for their economic strength as much as they don't want to be.
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GoManVanGogh
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Posted: 6/3/2005 5:55:56 PM     Post subject:  

The Bush model would be the equivalent of me quitting my job tomarrow and running my credit cards up to the hilt the same day - with absolutely no plan on what to do when the bill comes due at the end of the month.

If I ruin my credit, it would be a pain but I could get by. If the United States of America ruins its credit with the world - we are in some deep, deep dogshit (as would be the whole global economy). No other way of looking at it.


But at least we saved marriage and stem cells!
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mouse
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Posted: 6/3/2005 6:49:50 PM     Post subject:  

That's the problem. The Social Security Trust Fund isn't. It's all bonds. I'd rather have at least a part of that be in cash or even mortgage backed securities from Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. At least then there is something behind it. Any overages right now that don't need to be paid out to retirees goes towards whatever congressman or the president wants for a special program they decide to. That just bugs me.


That would actually be a good one, or better at least. (putting aside i think real estate is in a bubble right now, home prices are out of wack with reality, at least a little bit). Cause Im really not comfortable with the idea often espoused by some more conservative friends in favor of eliminating social security , or investing all of it directly into the stock market. Not thats its a bad idea on the very surface, but rather that, while theoretically I could get more out of my social security if that were done... who does it benefit the most? The biggest players on wall street. The biggest companies. Unless they invest in everything, which inherently means making bad investment decisions. OTOH if it were to be invested in just a few companies - what decides those few? Ultimately a decision to invest in something is just an opinion or a belief, no matter how educated the broker. Plus you can see the corruption that would spring from it even in its concept stages.

Investing in the Fannie May and Freddie Mac is an investment that I think is far more a public interest. And better use of that type of funds.

really well, the stock price doubled almost immediatly, they were talking about expanding things even more aggressivly than they already were before going public, taking more contracts etc. About 4-6 months later people really starting cashing out and the stock price fell lower than it started at - almost half. Medsource lost a shitload of capital. Now to people who watch the market - this stuff happens all the time. But internally for the employees and everyone else that gets laid off, hours cut, etc, this is not good at all. That was a situation where the stability of the company was negatively impacted entirely by the market. Nothign to do with what was going on within that company at all. Sometimes I wonder why businesses, especially smaller ones, even open themselves to that type of chaos at all. >

We'd be bailed out. No one would let us default. The US economy IS the world economic engine. Even the Chinese are beholden to the US for their economic strength as much as they don't want to be.


Maybe. Even so, a world superpower needing to be bailed out like that? The precedent would have wide reaching implications. I think we'd be looking at decades and decades of stagnation. Im pretty sure China is currently converting thier US Bonds into Euros. I live right near to Canada and I know the exchange rate is slipping. Last I heard it was like $1.25C to $1.00US, I remember when it was more like 1.75:1. The canadian dollar isnt getting stronger, our dollar is weakening.
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creature
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Posted: 6/4/2005 12:40:10 AM     Post subject:  


That would actually be a good one, or better at least. (putting aside i think real estate is in a bubble right now, home prices are out of wack with reality, at least a little bit). Cause Im really not comfortable with the idea often espoused by some more conservative friends in favor of eliminating social security , or investing all of it directly into the stock market.


I'm a fan of the idea of investing some of it the stock market. Invest directly in say total stock market funds and/or total bond market funds. That way you aren't betting for or against anything, just betting that the nature 20 year cycle of the market will go up. Nothing beats the stock market or bond market in a 20 year or longer cycle.


Not thats its a bad idea on the very surface, but rather that, while theoretically I could get more out of my social security if that were done... who does it benefit the most? The biggest players on wall street. The biggest companies. Unless they invest in everything, which inherently means making bad investment decisions.


In this case investing in the total stock market would be best. You are getting the best of diversification. Use the 20 year cycle to your advantage.


Investing in the Fannie May and Freddie Mac is an investment that I think is far more a public interest. And better use of that type of funds.


I think it would end up making more sense then just bonds. The single biggest buyer of US bonds is the social security system, and that's everything in there. That just scares me.


Maybe. Even so, a world superpower needing to be bailed out like that? The precedent would have wide reaching implications. I think we'd be looking at decades and decades of stagnation. Im pretty sure China is currently converting thier US Bonds into Euros. I live right near to Canada and I know the exchange rate is slipping. Last I heard it was like $1.25C to $1.00US, I remember when it was more like 1.75:1. The canadian dollar isnt getting stronger, our dollar is weakening.


Right now the euro is worth 1.22140USD, normally it sits about 1.44 so there has been some slide. But, that happens normally.
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Dr. Dos
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Posted: 6/4/2005 2:10:23 AM     Post subject:  

CYD is by far the best place on the internest for investment tips.

on May 18th DicksSprt went up +1.78 points.

(Quick sell next week, let's say I have a friend who knows what's going on there)
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mouse
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Posted: 6/4/2005 6:34:12 AM     Post subject:  

I'm a fan of the idea of investing some of it the stock market. Invest directly in say total stock market funds and/or total bond market funds. That way you aren't betting for or against anything, just betting that the nature 20 year cycle of the market will go up. Nothing beats the stock market or bond market in a 20 year or longer cycle.

<...>

In this case investing in the total stock market would be best. You are getting the best of diversification. Use the 20 year cycle to your advantage.


Fair enough - if the investments were in US companies that fit certain guidelines. IE, not companies that outsource .. basically bulding thier workforce overseas while delivering thier product almost exclusively within the states. Logic shows that that type of model will make money for the companies over the short term could throw the nation into a depression with falling wages on average and less and less disposable incomes, especially the more widespread this becomes -- the majority, the shrinking middle class, would have have less income to spend on these services.

Also, Im curious, a massive outflow of money from the market can have a negative impact (thruough lack of confidence or whatever)... I would also think a massive influx of money into the market could have a negative impact (massive inflation). Comments?

far as I know ever since the big crash in 1929, the government has acted as a 'flywheel' absorbing the sway of the market, always, and with good reason - to prevent any runaway scenario.


I just think truely public funds should be invested in truely public investments. Otherwise, without trying to be too inflammatory - just take it to the craps table. The stock market could meet that criteria depending on how its implemented. The whole deal would have to be watched like a hawk, regardless, IMO. Absolute, unadulterated, 100% disclosure, to the penny (to the thousandth of a penny). Triple audited.


I think it would end up making more sense then just bonds. The single biggest buyer of US bonds is the social security system, and that's everything in there. That just scares me.


it would, but correct me if I am wrong, if that US bond market fails, our economy has failed. Im not an economist, I am under the assumption that those markets are not independant. In which case I'd reiterate my point... if those bonds cannot be repaid.. it would be completely overshadowed by the 1929-style overall crash of the economy (or there shortly after).

If I'm wrong , just let me know... cause I honestly don't know.

Right now the euro is worth 1.22140USD, normally it sits about 1.44 so there has been some slide. But, that happens normally.


I'm sure I haven't following this closely as you have, but last I remember a year or two ago or whenever... I remember it being fairly close... almost as if the Euro had been initially based on the value of the U.S. Dollar. not 1:1 but very close (the euro being a little bit more valueble)... in that case these figures dont really instill condfidence. Im sure the market in europe is fluctuating... Im also pretty sure the Canadian economy isn't. Maybe if Bobby is still around, he might be following this and be able to provide some insight.

In fact, what I'm basing this on is a Canadian article I read recently expressing concern over the slipping value of the US$. Which would obviously, have a major major impact on the canadian economy since its very intertwined with U.S. economy (even moreso than the world economy)
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creature
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Posted: 6/4/2005 6:27:24 PM     Post subject:  


Fair enough - if the investments were in US companies that fit certain guidelines. IE, not companies that outsource .. basically bulding thier workforce overseas while delivering thier product almost exclusively within the states. Logic shows that that type of model will make money for the companies over the short term could throw the nation into a depression with falling wages on average and less and less disposable incomes, especially the more widespread this becomes -- the majority, the shrinking middle class, would have have less income to spend on these services.


That's activism investing. I can see offering socially responsible funds in it, but for my own personal investing of social security funds I'd prefer just total stock market. That way the next president or even this one can't use the money against his political enemies by investing it in a company that competes against them exclusivily. It's all spread out over the market. Say investing in News Corp because they brown nose Bush, while withholding investment money in Microsoft or GE because MSNBC gives him shit.


Also, Im curious, a massive outflow of money from the market can have a negative impact (thruough lack of confidence or whatever)... I would also think a massive influx of money into the market could have a negative impact (massive inflation). Comments?


True, but you'd get the same effect if all companies in the US did automatic enrollment into 401(k)s when someone was hired. I don't think it would be a massive influx either, specially since it would only be 4% of social security funds. I have 4% of my salary put into an S&P 500 index fund every paycheck, and over the year that will only be $2400, and even with the matching that's only $4800 a year. That's not a lot of money when you consider there are people like Warren Buffett out there with several billion in cash reserves looking for value deals.


far as I know ever since the big crash in 1929, the government has acted as a 'flywheel' absorbing the sway of the market, always, and with good reason - to prevent any runaway scenario.


Yes and no. The biggest problem with investing, and you see it now in real estate and you saw it in the tech bubble, is people are drawn to what they think is a quick buck. Unless you get in early and out about mid way into it, you aren't going to make a dime, really. The only ones that do are the realtors and the brokers. People lost millions on Enron and Worldcom because they were stupid and bought millions of shares of their own company stocks.


I just think truely public funds should be invested in truely public investments. Otherwise, without trying to be too inflammatory - just take it to the craps table. The stock market could meet that criteria depending on how its implemented. The whole deal would have to be watched like a hawk, regardless, IMO. Absolute, unadulterated, 100% disclosure, to the penny (to the thousandth of a penny). Triple audited.


Which is why you invest it in the total stock market. For every one Enron you have a Duke Energy or Kerr-McGee. For every Worldcom you have a Verizon or SBC Communications. The market swallows up badly run companies, and the slow moving but well run companies take care of themselves. Diversification is the ONLY way to ensure that the money grows. And the only diversification I would trust with social security funds is the total U.S. stock market. NYSE, American Exchange, NASDAQ, ect. All of it.


It would, but correct me if I am wrong, if that US bond market fails, our economy has failed. Im not an economist, I am under the assumption that those markets are not independant. In which case I'd reiterate my point... if those bonds cannot be repaid.. it would be completely overshadowed by the 1929-style overall crash of the economy (or there shortly after).

If I'm wrong , just let me know... cause I honestly don't know.


You are right, but I'm looking at Return On Investment (ROI). While the bond market is a guarenteed ROI of a few percent, I'd rather take the 4% that is being proposed and give it the chance of 10% growth. The S&P 500 has, over it's life, averaged 14%. Even over the last 5 years you can't beat the stock market on ROI. I don't mind the idea of investing in mortgage back securities from Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac because, at the worst, you end up with land and a house you can sell.


I'm sure I haven't following this closely as you have, but last I remember a year or two ago or whenever... I remember it being fairly close... almost as if the Euro had been initially based on the value of the U.S. Dollar. not 1:1 but very close (the euro being a little bit more valueble)... in that case these figures dont really instill condfidence. Im sure the market in europe is fluctuating... Im also pretty sure the Canadian economy isn't. Maybe if Bobby is still around, he might be following this and be able to provide some insight.


The EU euro and the US dollar have two things going for it no one else has, they are both backed by collections of economies. The US isn't really one massive economy as much as it is a collection of economies into a massive engine. The euro is backed by just about the same makeup of economies. The problem is that the EU is made of up warring tribes, while the US is made up of groups that get along pretty decently. It really doesn't matter that the euro is close to the dollar because the EU's economies are so screwed up.

Take France, their own people rallied against a work week longer then 35 hours. The unions in France have a hold on the testicles of the economy. Germany isn't much better, but they do have pretty close to the same output we do. Spain is damn near a no-op in terms of production. And they all hate Muslims so they wont get any benefit from the super growing Muslim economies.
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Paul
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Posted: 6/4/2005 10:53:11 PM     Post subject:  

And they all have Muslims so they wont get any benefit from the super growing Muslim economies.

Huh? How would Country A having immigrants from Country X be detrimental to Country A's trade contacts with Country X?
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creature
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Posted: 6/5/2005 12:51:28 AM     Post subject:  

And they all have Muslims so they wont get any benefit from the super growing Muslim economies.

Huh? How would Country A having immigrants from Country X be detrimental to Country A's trade contacts with Country X?


That was a mistype. Teach me to type out anything when I just got in from mowing the lawn.
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mouse
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Posted: 6/5/2005 4:56:38 AM     Post subject:  

That's activism investing. I can see offering socially responsible funds in it, but for my own personal investing of social security funds I'd prefer just total stock market. That way the next president or even this one can't use the money against his political enemies by investing it in a company that competes against them exclusivily. It's all spread out over the market. Say investing in News Corp because they brown nose Bush, while withholding investment money in Microsoft or GE because MSNBC gives him shit.


That part's right.. and on a purely pragmatic level, if it was used on a scale to merely improve the Social Security system (rather than moving in a direction to eliminate it, which it is.) I would really be more in favor of it. But most of my objections are coming from a few things - its the reason why I suggested investing in specific companies or 'activism investing' if you wanna call it that (I wouldn't).

This is public money. Its what US citizens have paid into the system with every paycheck they get. I have big issues with it being used to, in effect, reward certain companies with investment capital to (in certain cases) create jobs overseas and not here or even eliminate jobs in the US. Unless youre real wrapped up in big business thats doing this, most people can agree this sort of thing is not good for America. Its why we are in this "fake recovery" AKA Jobless recovery. A jobless recovery isnt a recovery at all. Companies are making more money, but the average person isn't. That type of situation can't last.

But putting all that aside - there is also what you are technically doing when you are investing. You are becoming part owner. Its never very much unless you are talking about guys with big bucks buying up huge percentages of companies - buying themselves right onto the board. This can get real complicated.. obviously the US government and people have a very real interest in the success of US businesses, its good for the economy and thus for everyone (I say that even outright despising supply-side/Reaganomics... I recognize both halves are essential) - but who is it that would technically own shares of these companies?.. The people , everyone? The government? in your system its total investment equally across the board - but it still raises a lot of questions. Would the US government now be part owner of every US company.. no matter how inconsequential, it just sounds weird. I mean these companies are "public" because they are on the market.. but lets be realistic here - they are controlled by wealthy individuals and other big investors. And these people would be given large amounts of investment capital from blatantly public funds. Free money. Chair people could cash out once that money starts coming in and leave it to someone else. I really havent seen anything where any of these implications have been examined that closely.

Obviously, for these reasons, Im much more comfortable with the government investing this money "in itself", bonds, and only betting on our future economic growth to begin with. Or even the government subsidies you mentioned that can earn returns. (College loans, mortages etc.)

You definately have to have an entire agency, very transparent and very closely watching over the whole thing.


True, but you'd get the same effect if all companies in the US did automatic enrollment into 401(k)s when someone was hired. I don't think it would be a massive influx either, specially since it would only be 4% of social security funds. I have 4% of my salary put into an S&P 500 index fund every paycheck, and over the year that will only be $2400, and even with the matching that's only $4800 a year. That's not a lot of money when you consider there are people like Warren Buffett out there with several billion in cash reserves looking for value deals.


I don't have any of the data - how much is collected in social security funds on a weekly, monthly and yearly basis?

Yes and no. The biggest problem with investing, and you see it now in real estate and you saw it in the tech bubble, is people are drawn to what they think is a quick buck. Unless you get in early and out about mid way into it, you aren't going to make a dime, really. The only ones that do are the realtors and the brokers. People lost millions on Enron and Worldcom because they were stupid and bought millions of shares of their own company stocks.


Well now hold on there, some companies have stock plans that you invest in diversified portfolios -- at the same time some companies usually offer matched investments in the companies' own stocks. You get 2 for 1 basically. Those people at Enron, that lost what they had in the company, that was definatly some kind of internal retirement plan offered by Enron. Most people don't do that - invest stongly in thier own company (other than Union guys, far as I can tell. Might seem ironic to some, people with stong anti-union biases, not me. Most union guys will fight thier company constantly for wages etc, but at the same time be very loyal.) Whether they had other options in addition to that, or just chose not to do thier own diversified plans outside of work or thru another system - you cant completely fault those people. They were undeniably the victims in that case. I dunno what the average income or economic situation of most of the employees that got fucked on that deal was. Maybe they didn't have enough income left after expenses to get into much savings and investments (many people don't). That might have been the best deal they were offered.

It might have been a risky venture, maybe they didn't think of that.. either way

I might be a class warrior, I might not be .. but I think all those crooked CEOs, board members and other higher ups that got out of that deal richer should have thier residences emptied on to their front lawns for a good ol' fashioned sheriff's auction. Till theres been enough sold to pay back the employees they ruthlessly swindled. Which, they did. Thats what its called. And that should be what happens to any of these guys that pull that garbage. Forget jail-time , they should just be bankrupted without mercy.

Shit, I have more respect for the blue-collar, skilled trades of crime. A purse snatcher never gets rich, and spends a lot of time in jail - do it on a corporate level and you can laugh at the judge and get a million dollar legal team to get you out of it.





You are right, but I'm looking at Return On Investment (ROI). While the bond market is a guarenteed ROI of a few percent, I'd rather take the 4% that is being proposed and give it the chance of 10% growth. The S&P 500 has, over it's life, averaged 14%. Even over the last 5 years you can't beat the stock market on ROI. I don't mind the idea of investing in mortgage back securities from Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac because, at the worst, you end up with land and a house you can sell.


Like I addressed in the first part - if this sort of thing can simultaneously cover the potential deficts looming in about 2018 or whenever when theres really going to be a crunch on the system, and grow our national economy by investing in US companies - then we should strongly consider it. But I really think the entire thing needs to be combed over by non-partisan think-tanks, experts, analysts .. etc before it could ever be implemented. Rushing into it would be a really bad call IMO.

Also re: this predicted swelling of SocSec thats going to be paid out around that time... I can only kind of see where the idea is coming from that there will be more people collecting more than is being paid in - but last I knew.. while in certain segments of our population birth rates are falling thre are also people immigating here, and isnt the population on the whole on the rise? The baby boomers are fixed number of people thats only going to decrease if anything - what is that projected # of people that would be paying into social security coming from? Again I've only seen very vague figures, and thus this whole "crisis" has, from the start, sounded at least a little bit alarmist.
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Strychnine Velcro
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Posted: 6/5/2005 8:47:37 AM     Post subject:  

I get called both 'communist' and 'fascist' frequently when talking about politics, but mostly I get called 'wanker'.
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Paul
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Posted: 6/5/2005 11:32:53 AM     Post subject:  

And they all have Muslims so they wont get any benefit from the super growing Muslim economies.

Huh? How would Country A having immigrants from Country X be detrimental to Country A's trade contacts with Country X?

That was a mistype. Teach me to type out anything when I just got in from mowing the lawn.

And they all hate Muslims so they wont get any benefit from the super growing Muslim economies.

Ah. Instead of a statement that made no sense, now you have one that is an obviously incorrect crypto-racist generalization. That's not an improvement.
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creature
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Posted: 6/5/2005 10:57:12 PM     Post subject:  


Ah. Instead of a statement that made no sense, now you have one that is an obviously incorrect crypto-racist generalization. That's not an improvement.


So explain to me why pretty much every country that is currently in the EU is apposed to a Muslim country, Turkey, to joining?
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creature
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Posted: 6/5/2005 11:45:29 PM     Post subject:  


But most of my objections are coming from a few things - its the reason why I suggested investing in specific companies or 'activism investing' if you wanna call it that (I wouldn't).


And I will!


This is public money. Its what US citizens have paid into the system with every paycheck they get. I have big issues with it being used to, in effect, reward certain companies with investment capital to (in certain cases) create jobs overseas and not here or even eliminate jobs in the US. Unless youre real wrapped up in big business thats doing this, most people can agree this sort of thing is not good for America. Its why we are in this "fake recovery" AKA Jobless recovery. A jobless recovery isnt a recovery at all. Companies are making more money, but the average person isn't. That type of situation can't last.


According to the Bureau of Labor Statics, the US unemployment rate currently stands at 5.2% (you can see back to 1969 here), which isn't that bad. I'm not a huge fan of the Heritage Foundation, but you can check out a lot of the statics here.


But putting all that aside - there is also what you are technically doing when you are investing. You are becoming part owner. Its never very much unless you are talking about guys with big bucks buying up huge percentages of companies - buying themselves right onto the board. This can get real complicated.. obviously the US government and people have a very real interest in the success of US businesses, its good for the economy and thus for everyone (I say that even outright despising supply-side/Reaganomics... I recognize both halves are essential) - but who is it that would technically own shares of these companies?.. The people , everyone? The government? in your system its total investment equally across the board - but it still raises a lot of questions. Would the US government now be part owner of every US company.. no matter how inconsequential, it just sounds weird. I mean these companies are "public" because they are on the market.. but lets be realistic here - they are controlled by wealthy individuals and other big investors. And these people would be given large amounts of investment capital from blatantly public funds. Free money. Chair people could cash out once that money starts coming in and leave it to someone else. I really havent seen anything where any of these implications have been examined that closely.


And you can call this the ultimate activist investing as well. While it wouldn't be communistic in that the feds wouldn't be allowed to vote in shareholder meetings, the same way I wouldn't be allowed to vote based on the stocks I own in my 401(k). The fund managers would, which is the way 401(k)s are handled now. My understanding is that the total amount that would go into these social security accounts would be just a little more then what is put into 401(k)s now. You'd honestly not have anymore say over things then you do now if you have a 401(k).

The chairpeople want more money, but they get that from stock so they aren't going to cashout. They legally can't because of blackout periods and various other restrictions the SEC and various federal laws put on them. Also, if anything, social security accounts would be proceeded by many more laws. Companies bitch about the Sarbanes-Oxley act now, wait until the big brother comes down the pipe and strikes.


Obviously, for these reasons, Im much more comfortable with the government investing this money "in itself", bonds, and only betting on our future economic growth to begin with. Or even the government subsidies you mentioned that can earn returns. (College loans, mortages etc.)

You definately have to have an entire agency, very transparent and very closely watching over the whole thing.


Oh very much so. Hell, companies now are calling for the SEC to be even more transparent and to be even more accountable. Plus the NYSE, AmEx, NASDAQ and various other exchanges would be strict as a domanatrix with public companies. If anything, I'm honestly more worried about companies not wanting to go public because of it.


Well now hold on there, some companies have stock plans that you invest in diversified portfolios -- at the same time some companies usually offer matched investments in the companies' own stocks. You get 2 for 1 basically. Those people at Enron, that lost what they had in the company, that was definatly some kind of internal retirement plan offered by Enron.


Since I got this from CNBC in the morning, you'll have to give me a little leway on this, but the average American's 401(k) is 25% company stock. I don't own any stock in my company, even though I can, but I know others that do.


Most people don't do that - invest stongly in thier own company (other than Union guys, far as I can tell. Might seem ironic to some, people with stong anti-union biases, not me. Most union guys will fight thier company constantly for wages etc, but at the same time be very loyal.) Whether they had other options in addition to that, or just chose not to do thier own diversified plans outside of work or thru another system - you cant completely fault those people. They were undeniably the victims in that case. I dunno what the average income or economic situation of most of the employees that got fucked on that deal was. Maybe they didn't have enough income left after expenses to get into much savings and investments (many people don't). That might have been the best deal they were offered.


The average was blue collar works, below $60k/year. Some of the more extreme cases had used their entire 401(k) contributions to buy company stock paycheck after paycheck for years. I remember one person who made $35k/y who was worth 2 million dollars in Enron stock before the collapse and she lost everything because all she had was Enron stock in her 401(k). Companies now cannot push company stock on employees because of Enron and Worldcom.


Like I addressed in the first part - if this sort of thing can simultaneously cover the potential deficts looming in about 2018 or whenever when theres really going to be a crunch on the system, and grow our national economy by investing in US companies - then we should strongly consider it. But I really think the entire thing needs to be combed over by non-partisan think-tanks, experts, analysts .. etc before it could ever be implemented. Rushing into it would be a really bad call IMO.


Oh, I agree. I think this should be studied, but I don't want it studied until it's too damned late.


Also re: this predicted swelling of SocSec thats going to be paid out around that time... I can only kind of see where the idea is coming from that there will be more people collecting more than is being paid in - but last I knew.. while in certain segments of our population birth rates are falling thre are also people immigating here, and isnt the population on the whole on the rise? The baby boomers are fixed number of people thats only going to decrease if anything - what is that projected # of people that would be paying into social security coming from? Again I've only seen very vague figures, and thus this whole "crisis" has, from the start, sounded at least a little bit alarmist.


Yes and no. While we are getting more immigration, it's not enough to replace "the Greatest Generation" (Thank you, Tom Brokaw, you egotistical prick.) as a whole.

Personally, I want to see the SS income ceiling to be raised to $125k/y salaries. That will push the crisis back at least 50 years, which when we get there we'll be able to push it back more. Right now it sits at $90k/y, which means I have another $30k/y to go before I don't worry about SS taxes.
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Paul
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Posted: 6/6/2005 12:41:32 AM     Post subject:  

So explain to me why pretty much every country that is currently in the EU is apposed to a Muslim country, Turkey, to joining?

But they aren't. It's the official opinion of all EU countries' governments that if Turkey fulfils the EU's requirements in regards to political and economic reforms, then it can become a member. The exact same conditions as the other current applicants, Romania, Bulgaria and Croatia. Matter of fact, EU/Turkey entry talks are scheduled to start in October.

Whether Turkey is able to fulfil the demands is another matter entirely, and no one, including the Turks, expect Turkish EU membership to happen for another 10-15 years.
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